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Alberta now on track for even bigger budget deficit, now at $6.5B



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Edmonton·New

Finance Minister Nate Horner says softening oil prices mean this year’s projected budget deficit is expected to grow by $1.3 billion, and will now finish at $6.5 billion in the red when the fiscal year ends next spring.

This year’s projected budget deficit is expected to grow by $1.3B

A man speaks behind a podium.
Alberta Finance Minister Nate Horner speaks to the media in a file photo from June 2023. During a fiscal update Thursday, Horner announced that Alberta will now end the fiscal year, $6.5 billion in the red. (Jeff McIntosh/The Canadian Press)

The bad news for Alberta’s oil-reliant budget is set to get worse.

Finance Minister Nate Horner says softening oil prices mean this year’s projected budget deficit is expected to grow by $1.3 billion, and will now finish at $6.5 billion in the red when the fiscal year ends next spring.

That represents a massive multi-billion-dollar swing in Alberta’s financial fortunes, as it is coming off an $8.3-billion surplus the year prior.

The government says uncertainty created by U.S. trade policy is hurting the Alberta economy and remains a significant risk going into the rest of the year.

Oil prices remain the determining factor in Alberta’s budget, as they have for decades.

Every dollar drop in the per-barrel price for the benchmark West Texas Intermediate slashes $750 million from Alberta’s bottom line, and Alberta has lowered its forecast by more than US$4 a barrel since introducing the 2025 budget in February.

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